Why Static Reference Ranges Are ObsoleteIntroduction: The Illusion of “Normal”For decades, laboratory diagnostics have relied on a simple—and, as has become increasingly evident, methodologically naïve—model: a biomarker is measured, compared against a reference range, and a conclusion is drawn.
This approach was technologically justified in an era of limited computational capacity, but in the 21st century it has become a source of systematic diagnostic error.
Modern medicine increasingly encounters a paradox:
a patient may have a clinically significant, and sometimes life-threatening condition, while all laboratory values formally remain “within normal limits.”
The underlying cause is the neglect of dynamics.
Static Interpretation: A Fundamental LimitationStatic interpretation answers only a single question:
Does the value fall within an averaged population reference range?It fails to address far more clinically relevant questions:
- In which direction is the marker changing?
- At what rate is it changing?
- How does it behave in the context of other biomarkers?
- What do small but concordant shifts across multiple parameters signify?
Reference ranges are statistical constructs, not physiological truths. They:
- average millions of heterogeneous metabolic profiles,
- ignore individual baseline physiology,
- completely exclude the temporal dimension.
Clinical Reality: Change, Not Absolute Value, Determines SignificanceContemporary clinical research consistently demonstrates that the true diagnostic value lies not in the absolute biomarker level, but in its change over time.
A paradigmatic example is high-sensitivity cardiac troponin.
Large multicenter cardiology studies have shown that:
- a single measurement may be diagnostically neutral,
- while the change in troponin levels over just one hour can, with near-absolute accuracy:
- rule out myocardial infarction, or
- confirm it at its earliest stage.
It is dynamic interpretation that provides sensitivity and negative predictive value approaching 100%.
This is not an exception—it is the new standard of evidence-based medicine.